Is the Real Estate Bubble About to Burst?

Author: Andrew Lobr
Source: articleage.combr
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How long can prices rise before no one can afford to buy? In a nutshell, that is the basic question that is niggling at the back of our collective subconscious when we talk about the real estate bubble.
Real estate is appreciating at staggering rates – as much as 19% in some counties in Florida according to state officials. Meanwhile, on the financing scene, interest rates are low – and staying there. Low interest rates mean lower monthly mortgage payments – which means that many people are able to borrow MORE and afford larger mortgages and more expensive houses. Couple the astronomical increase in real estate value with the continuing trend of low interest rates, and you have a sizzling hot real estate market that just keeps getting hotter as investors jump on board to get their piece of the real estate pie.
Which leads people who know finances and the market to question how long it can last. A major part of that answer is in the question that opened this article. Prices will continue to rise until they reach the point where most people can no longer afford to buy.
Another part of the answer is in the fact that the real estate bubble is extremely localized – and its localized in some of the larger media centers around the country. Massachusetts, New York, Florida, California – those states are seeing unprecedented rises in housing and real estate prices. According to national reports, the median price for a home in the United States rose 14.7% over the last twelve months. That percentage is deceiving though. Take a look at some more local figures to get a clearer look at the reality.
If you live in Nevada, the median price of a home rose 31.2 percent. In California, home appreciation rose up 25.4. In Hawaii, the figure was 24.4 percent, in Washington, D.C., 22.2 percent and in Florida up 21.4 percent. Most of the rest of the country is NOT seeing those sorts of astronomical increases in value, though. If youre buying in Mississippi, for instance, home prices have appreciated at a more reasonable 4.9%. Even in the Northeast, where a two bedroom home in Boston can easily sell for $400,000, if you take a short drive outside the city to the western half of the state, youll still find 3 and 4 bedroom homes selling in the low $100s – and less.
Whats it all mean? Among other things, it means that the dangers of a real estate crash are as localized as the effects of the real estate bubble. It means that the foreseen losses are more likely to be smaller profits rather than actual losses. To quote a Florida economist, The people who think its a big bubble see a big crash. We just see deceleration. You dont have to worry about house prices going down.
The bad news may be for those who see real estate as a get-rich-quick proposition. One of the most popular investment schemes of recent years has been flipping houses – the practice of buying a house, then reselling it within a six to twelve months for a profit. When real estate prices are rising at 20 – 30% per year, theres a great deal of money to be made that way. A down payment of $10,000 can effectively double or triple your money in less than a year. According to conservative estimates, though, real estate prices need to rise by at least 15% a year to even cover your closing costs if you sell in less than a year.
Does that mean that youll LOSE money on your purchase if real estate prices stabilize and drop back to their more usual 5 – 8% per year rise? Of course not! It simply means that real estate goes back to being what it has always been – a good, solid, long-term investment. It means that speculators looking to make a quick buck will have to re-adjust their expectations – and either find a different product – or hold their properties longer before selling.
Either option is good news for the classic real estate investor, or the average home buyer who is looking for an affordable house for himself and his family. Prices will stabilize and even drop a little – but the bottom wont fall out of the real estate market. The typical real estate owner/investor will still end up with a house and land thats worth more than what he paid for it. And all the naysayers and panic mongers can stop predicting the resounding crash of the real estate bubble falling to earth.
Is this a good time to buy a house? Andrew is the web owner of Home Buying and Home Selling Tips: How to buy a house and sell house fast!, a website that provides informational guide on home buying, selling house, home mortgage loan, foreclosure home, real estate investment, and more. Find the answer at his website: http://www.buy-and-sell-house-fast.com/br
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Is There Anywhere Not Being Slaughtered in the Real Estate Market?

Author: Stirling Gardnerbr
Source: ezinearticles.combr
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Its no surprise that the world of property investing is in for some bleak times in the nearby future. How far into the near future? Your estimate is as respectable as the next persons!

The Federal Reserve states that they are observing a little encouraging momentum with the economy, but Warren Buffet says he still cannot observe them (cataracts or not)!

June 2009 saw more than 450,000 citizens lose their jobs raising the rate of unemployment to a near twenty seven year high near to ten percent. As my grandpa wouldve said, Thems bleak signs, people.

It doesnt require a missile scientist to map out that with elevated unemployment and citizens in general creating a reduced amount of takings that real estate prices are going to be effected. If you reside in a neighborhood with especially excessive lay-offs, you have undoubtedly seen the cost of houses in your area plunging as people vacate to find work in other areas.

But, there are exceptions to each rule and Madison, Wisconsin is one of them. The single reason their average home costs have not dropped through the ceiling is for the reason that Madison has been able to keep up a reasonably established employment marketplace.

Madison is fortunate for a number of reasons: The university, an wealth of medical centers, plentiful government buildings, a number of of the better insurance companies as well as a handful of top-tier companies are helping to keep up the mid-Western citys real estate marketplace. Clearly, things arent as respectable as they had been recently, but these businesses are definitely part of the reason.

Even though real estate transactions are only half of where they were under 3, Madison has records worth noting.

Real Estate examination has made known that the number of vacancies for apartments in the U.S. Climbed to their largest figures in ten years during the 1st quarter of 2009. This, consequentially, caused rental costs to dive. And there is no telling when this condition may correct itself as increasing numbers of apartments are about to need new tenants. This is a product of the construction that began during the boom.

However unlike the remainder of the United States, Madison has managed to keep things in check. The quantity of apartment buildings are more or less the equivalent as they were all through the boom. In reality, rental prices have still managed to rise all through the last 12 months and a lot of property owners are more discriminating about who they rent to.

While rental prices have increased, there are reasons that counter the higher costs and keep the need for signing a residential lease agreement in Madison:

1) Home purchasing has decreased substantially as the guidelines for getting a home financed are so much harder.

2) Many previous homeowners have been foreclosed on and are forced to rent.

3) More and more people are opting NOT to buy (especially if they have never owned before), due to the economy.

Realtors in Madison are relatively happy and remain positive about the future. And why shouldnt they be as government incentives keep rolling in allowing the market to stay relatively stable?

There are some great areas like Madison still out there if you are desperate to invest. Just do your homework and compare their unemployment rates with their foreclosure rates.

Youll be able to buy some quality rental property and get your residential lease agreement signed.

If youre clever, youll discover them.

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pStirling Gardner is a writer and property management expert./ppHe consults for EZ Landlord Forms.com – your best online resource for a state specific a target=_new href=http://www.ezlandlordforms.com/documents/100 rel=nofollowresidential lease agreement/A and a target=_new href=http://www.ezlandlordforms.com/documents/eviction_notices rel=nofolloweviction notice/A./pbr
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Real Estate Investment – Why it is Big Business?

Author: Rhiannon Williamson
Source: articleage.com

When examining the different asset classes, real estate is generally far less volatile than shares and real estate tends to be the haven that investors flock to when other asset classes are suffering.
It is true to say that investment properties can have many benefits in terms of building long-term wealth, but we must never forget that this wealth is not guaranteed!
Following the global real estate boom of the late 1980’s many investors learnt this hard lesson when they found their properties were worth far less than they had actually paid for them and the bottom seemingly fell out of the over-inflated market. The bottom did not truly fall out of the market however as all real estate retained value; the real estate market simply experienced an overdue rebalance and has gone on to build from this point of stability.
Since the booming 80’s ’sensible’ investments in real estate have still offered major attractions and advantages, and it is back to real estate that investors have turned in recent years.
With real estate prices in some countries soaring, and first time buyers struggling to get onto the first rung of the real estate ladder, many people are looking further a field for investment property opportunities.
A recent report in the UK highlighted a 130% rise in the value of farmland since the 1990’s for example – fuelled entirely by a new breed of non-farming buyers. With bricks and mortar real estate prices in the UK now so exorbitant, these non-farming buyers are looking for alternatives for their money.
They may be unable to afford real-estate investments and unwilling to risk their cash on the ever volatile stock market and so they are buying up fields and pastures to get in on the real estate investment game!
Others interested in property investment have been examining the real estate markets around the globe for value for money, return on investment, potential for growth and development, rental market opportunities and basic stability. With current research showing that up to one in eight Britons intend to purchase an overseas real estate within the next five years you can see that overseas real estate investment is very big business.
Relatively newly discovered property markets are opening up or expanding in countries such as North Cyprus, South Africa and Bulgaria for example – where potential buyers are afforded incredible value for money when it comes to real estate. The real estate market in countries such as these has been artificially restricted through the threat of war or political instability, and now with their recent history showing that they are stable countries with strong economies and populated and governed by those with a first world perspective, property investors are finding markets rich in diversity and potential.
Dubai is another country offering interesting real estate investment opportunities. Since May 2002 when the crown prince of Dubai, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoom issued a decree allowing foreigners the right to buy freehold real estate there, the real estate market has exploded!
Properties available in Dubai range from modest one bedroom flats to freehold exclusive islands! And property there still offers very good value for money – furthermore the tax and business advantages in Dubai are very appealing and so real estate investment in Dubai is enjoying a buoyant upward trend.
And then there are the ‘old’ favourites – France, Florida and Spain for example are all countries with a long history of investment real estate appeal – especially for Britons and Northern European residents looking to escape the weather and invest in a home in the sun. Whether you are looking to secure a home for holidays, your retirement or you are looking for a long term investment opportunity these countries still offer the investor potential for real estate growth.
When it comes to considering real estate as an investment vehicle it is a tried and tested method used for attempting to secure long term gains – but as with any investment, gains, returns and security of investment are not guaranteed. Whether real estate investment is right for you and matches your circumstances and attitude to risk is something that you need to consider.
Rhiannon Williamson is an experienced publisher who has produced articles for leading travel and tourism guides and financial magazines. Her specialist knowledge about both travel and finance gives her site Shelter Offshore the unique ability to literally cover every single aspect of moving & living abroad – including the often less discussed offshore tax advantages that can be available when leaving our homeland.